种间关系预测(ICE)模型在水质基准研究中的应用

冯承莲; 付卫强; Dyer Scott; 樊明; 吴丰昌

doi:10.7524/AJE.1673-5897.20140610001

1. 中国环境科学研究院环境基准与风险评估国家重点实验室, 北京 100012;

2. 北京铁路电气化学校, 北京 102202;

3. 宝洁公司, 美国俄亥俄州 45040

作者简介: 冯承莲(1981-),女,博士,副研究员,研究方向为水生态毒理和水质基准,E-mail:fengcl@craes.org.cn

通讯作者: 吴丰昌, E-mail: wufengchang@vip.skleg.cn

基金项目:

环保公益性行业科研专项(201409037)

环保公益性行业科研专项(201309060)

中图分类号: X171.5

Application of Interspecies Correlation Estimation (ICE) Models in the Study of Water Quality Criteria

1. State Key Laboratory of Environmental Criteria and Risk Assessment, Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing 100012, China;

2. Beijing Railway Electrification College, Beijing 102202, China;

3. The Procter&Gamble Company, Ohio 45040, United States

Corresponding author: Wu Fengchang, wufengchang@vip.skleg.cn

Fund Project:

摘要: 水质基准研究主要是基于物种的实验室测试的毒性数据开展的。对于一些毒性数据相对缺乏的化学品,水质基准研究就会受到一定的影响。本文从水质基准研究方法的角度,阐述了种间关系预测(ICE)的基本原理和基本方法,系统介绍了ICE模型的毒性预测方法在水质基准研究中的应用,并通过锌的ICE案例研究证明了模型在中国的可利用性。同时,对ICE模型的不确定性和适用性进行了分析。最后,对ICE模型存在的问题和未来的发展方向进行了探索和展望。

Abstract: Water quality criteria study is mainly based on the experimental toxicity data of species. For the chemicals that have few or incomplete toxicity data, the water quality criteria study will be negatively affected. This paper introduced rationale and methodology of interspecies correlation estimation (ICE) models from the angle of the water quality criteria methods. And their application in deriving water quality criteria was comprehensively analyzed. The case study of zinc proved the applicability of ICE in deriving water quality criteria for China. In addition, the uncertainty and the applicability of the ICE model were analyzed. Finally, the development of ICE models and their potential use for assessing water quality were also explored in future.

Key words:

zinc /
aquatic life /
interspecies correlation estimation (ICE) /
water quality criteria /
species sensitivity distributions (SSD) /
toxicity prediction

种间关系预测(ICE)模型在水质基准研究中的应用

通讯作者: 吴丰昌, E-mail: wufengchang@vip.skleg.cn

作者简介: 冯承莲(1981-),女,博士,副研究员,研究方向为水生态毒理和水质基准,E-mail:fengcl@craes.org.cn
1. 中国环境科学研究院环境基准与风险评估国家重点实验室, 北京 100012;

2. 北京铁路电气化学校, 北京 102202;

3. 宝洁公司, 美国俄亥俄州 45040

收稿日期: 2014-06-10

基金项目:

环保公益性行业科研专项(201409037)

环保公益性行业科研专项(201309060)

关键词:

Application of Interspecies Correlation Estimation (ICE) Models in the Study of Water Quality Criteria

Corresponding author: Wu Fengchang, wufengchang@vip.skleg.cn

1. State Key Laboratory of Environmental Criteria and Risk Assessment, Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing 100012, China;

2. Beijing Railway Electrification College, Beijing 102202, China;

3. The Procter&Gamble Company, Ohio 45040, United States

Received Date: 2014-06-10

Fund Project:

Keywords:

zinc /
aquatic life /
interspecies correlation estimation (ICE) /
water quality criteria /
species sensitivity distributions (SSD) /
toxicity prediction

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